Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 8.914449 10.238953 11.714433 13.483787 15.552966 17.902224 20.780083
2025-02-02 7.252541 8.975760 11.059745 13.780081 17.258509 21.585348 27.418816
2025-02-09 6.365897 8.320959 10.832916 14.326767 19.107403 25.487165 34.758617
2025-02-16 5.430029 7.405368 10.066256 13.957463 19.577662 27.515898 39.782820
2025-02-23 4.797348 6.784887 9.573441 13.832859 20.283624 29.864607 45.506968
2025-03-02 4.293171 6.268546 9.141126 13.701740 20.907877 32.107151 51.331217
2025-03-09 3.859041 5.796626 8.705746 13.487516 21.338682 34.055439 56.914838
2025-03-16 3.471202 5.348239 8.248640 13.168293 21.533335 35.606406 62.007517
2025-03-23 3.328899 5.264511 8.345279 13.743838 23.264093 39.931632 72.646312
2025-03-30 3.123997 5.056500 8.214696 13.913212 24.299160 43.153579 81.728402
2025-04-06 2.898708 4.791424 7.959656 13.830860 24.859975 45.563236 89.587229
2025-04-13 2.686309 4.527685 7.679479 13.667709 25.240741 47.662859 97.125811
2025-04-20 2.592291 4.464092 7.747932 14.162368 26.958783 52.647993 111.725029
2025-04-27 2.477690 4.353023 7.719743 14.469529 28.344656 57.156193 126.106606
2025-05-04 2.408822 4.317938 7.825716 15.045972 30.347615 63.238419 145.252041
2025-05-11 2.224197 4.050938 7.469714 14.656112 30.262556 64.755587 153.679722
2025-05-18 2.088013 3.864440 7.251494 14.524599 30.717563 67.542478 165.798353
2025-05-25 1.963406 3.689980 7.041162 14.386223 31.137319 70.300635 178.363450
2025-06-01 1.840453 3.508932 6.801943 14.160159 31.327172 72.532520 189.938872
2025-06-08 1.716947 3.317292 6.525217 13.823331 31.215991 74.007134 199.686646
2025-06-15 1.693094 3.326084 6.663721 14.430649 33.444581 81.715398 229.093580
2025-06-22 1.631052 3.250794 6.617813 14.609402 34.639751 86.917068 252.117026
2025-06-29 1.550625 3.130699 6.465463 14.522489 35.151520 90.360696 270.399670